Landmark poll puts Jason Carter
Senate in terms that mimicked past post 2002 cycles.
Republican incumbent Nathan Deal, 48 percent;
But now we have a Landmark Communications survey, commissioned by Channel 2 Action News, released only four days later, that essentially flips those results. But the survey tracks closely with a previous WSB/Landmark poll from July. Check out the crosstabs here.
In the governor s race, according to Landmark:
Margin of error is roughly the same in both surveys +/ 4.2 and 4 percent, respectively. But there are significant methodological differences between the two polls. The SurveyUSA poll was a combination of automated calls to land lines, and an Internet questionnaire conducted via smart phones or other devices. Sunday: We originally reported that Landmark Communications conducpatagonia burrito bag for saleted live interviews via landlines. Mark Rountree, head of Landmark Communications, sent us this note on Sunday:
do want to clear up one item: our (Landmark) poll waspatagonia mens vest tutorial2 a hybrid of IVR (recorded) and live calling, not just live calling. We dialed using live interviewers to cell phones, while IVR was used for landlines are also some significant weighting differences. The SurveyUSA survey presumed a November turnout in which men make up a majority of voters, and placed African American turnout at 26 percent.
The Landmark poll places black turnout at 29 percent, more in line with the historical trend. It also presumes a majority of female voters.
Below is the memo that Landmark s Mark Rountree sent us:
1. GOVERNOR Democrat Senator Jason Carter continues to lead Republican Governor Nathan Deal, though the margin is shrinking. Today Carter leads Deal by a margin of 44 40%, with Libertarian Andrew Hunt carrying 4% of the vote.
However, Carter s lead hapatagonia mens vest tutorial1s shrunk from an eight (+8) percentage point lead on July 15 (49% to 41%) down to a lead of just four percent (+4) today.
GENDER DIFFpatagonia pro deal discountERENCES: Sen. Carter carries 50% of female voters but only 38% of male voters, while Governor Deal wins 47% of men but only 34% of women voters.
REGIONAL DIFFERENCES: Governor Deal leads 42 patagonia mens vest tutorial340% outside of Metro Atlanta, while Sen. Carter leads iwomen's patagonia storm jacket black large waterproof breathable new with tagn Metro Atlanta by 51 37%.
AGE DIFFERENCES: Governor Deal leads among younger voters and older voters, while Sen. Carter leads among voters who arepatagonia outlet store in alabama in the 40 64 age range. Deal carries the 18 39 age range by a 45 35% margin and the 65%+ age group by 46 40%. However, Carter leads among votpatagonia outlet store 711584ers in the 40 64 age range by a 50 36% margin.
2. Senate race. Nunn leads Perdue 47% to 40%, with 3% of voters voting for Libertarian candidate Amanda Swafford.
Men support Perdue by a 47 41% margin (+6), while women give Nunn an 18 percent lead (+18), 52 34%.
3. Senator has reached 50% or more of the vote. Senatpatagonia discount code insoleor Saxby Chpatagonia discount code kennedyambliss was thrown into a runoff election in 2008, though the incumbent ultimately prevailed and returned to the Senate. Republican State Senator Paul Coverdell pulled Democratic Senator Wyche Fowler in to a runoff election in 1992, with Coverdell ultimately winning the office in that runoff. Senate, there is clear and recent precedence for these elections. Each passing week in which no candidate has crospatagonia mens vest tutorial0sed the 50%+1 mark brings the increased possibility of a runoff election for each office.
4. PRESIDENT OBAMA S HANDLING OF IRAQ SITUATION When voters were asked whether they approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is handling the situation in Iraq, Georgians expressed disapproval by a 45 39% margin ( 6%).
There is a significant difference between races on the issue of Iraq: fully 62% of white voters said they disapprove of the President s handling of the situation in Ipatagonia guide jacket invitationsraq, while 67% of black voters said they approve.
Following is the methodology, apatagonia guide jacket quiksilvers provided by Landmark:
Landmark Communications, Inc. conducted this survey of 600 likely Georgia voters on August 20th and 21st, 2014. Telephone interviews were conducted by landline (80%) and mobile phone (20%). The phone list was created and randomized from Landmark Communications own statewide Georgia voter database. Only completed interviews were included in the final report. Responses were weighted by age, gender and race to reflect the actual demographic make up of a general election in Georgia in a gubernatorial election year. The margin of error is +/ 4 percent. The survey was commpatagonia mens vest tutorialissioned by WSB TV Channel 2 Atlanta.
